My Swing Trading Approach

I added two trades to the portfolio yesterday, was whipped out of a another for a small profit. I will look to keep the portfolio the same, with little changes to it, beyond increasing my stops. If a great opportunity comes my way, I may pull the trigger on it. 

Indicators

  • VIX – Trying to bounce, surprisingly, it finished off the lows of the day, to hold the 11 price level. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average): Small move yesterday of 1.8%, but it was enough to get this indicator back over 70%. The indicator still suggests the market was more bullish for stocks back in the September/October time period. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Trading above all the major moving averages. 
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Industries to Watch Today

More consolidation in Basic Materials – watch for a breakout of the consolidation today. Utilities showed some signs of life. Real Estate led the way, followed by Technology. Financials, Cyclical, and Healthcare remain steady performers. 
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My Market Sentiment

Stay long. What else can one do with a market this bullish? Don’t be blind to bearish developments if they should arise, but so far, they are being kept at bay. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

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Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 7 long positions

Recent Stock Trade Notables:

  • Hess (HES): Long at 48.50, sold at 53.42 for a 10.1% profit. 
  • Splunk (SPLK): Long at 83.11, sold at 88.10 for a 6% profit.
  • Nvidia (NVDA): Long at 227.10, sold at 221.32 for a 2.5% loss.  
  • Square (SQ): Long at 40.41, sold at 41.16 for a 1.9% profit.
  • Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB): Long at 30.92, sold at 31.80 for a 2.9% profit.
  • US Steel (X): Long at 35.38, sold at 36.90 for a 4.3% profit. 

See my entire swing-trading past performance here