My Swing Trading Approach
With the large gap down this morning, the market is in dangerous territory, and risks breaking Monday’s lows and eventually the February intraday lows. As a result, I will stay put in my trading, until the market has provided me with a more definite trading edge to work with.
Indicators
- VIX – A 10% sell off yesterday, didn’t do much to damage the chart. Remains range bound over the last seven trading sessions.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average): Series of higher-highs and higher-lows remains in place with yesterday’s 30% rally (current reading is at 35.6%). Right now, this is a solid bullish divergence but could easily come under fire today, with weakness in the pre-market.
- Moving averages (SPX): Recaptured the 5-day and 200-day moving averages.
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Industries to Watch Today
Energy, Industrials and Healthcare led the market bounce yesterday, while Utilities lagged. Energy showing the potential still for a base breakout, while Healthcare is exhibiting a double bottom similar to that of the S&P 500. Technology while having been hammered over the past month, is still one of the best long-term charts. 
My Market Sentiment
The market is coming into the day in a precarious situation with the trade war escalating overnight with China. The 200-day moving average will be violated at the open, and a strong possibility that we see a significant sell-off that could take us, ultimately, back to the February lows to be retested. The double bottom, talked about below, is in jeopardy of being nullified today.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance
- 4 Long Positions
