My Swing Trading Approach

I added a few positions yesterday as the bulls bought the dip off of the 10-day moving average. I plan to be much less active today, as I let my existing positions mature some into profitable ones. I still don’t want to get too heavy to the long side here, as I’ll just take the opportunities the market brings my way, in a very conservative manner. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) – Despite a massive break higher, VIX gave up the majority of its gains yesterday to only close 2.3% higher, and inside of the downtrend off of the 2/9 highs. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): This is really starting to concern me, because we are not that far off of the all-time highs, yet only 53% of stocks are trading above their 40-day moving average. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Still trading below the 5-day moving average, however, it tested the 10-day MA and held perfectly. 
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Sectors to Watch Today

Financials almost finished in the green yesterday, and while it may be thinking about popping here, there is still a non-committal attitude out of the indnex still. Utilities, showing signs of possibly wanting to roll over. Technology sporting a bull flag pattern here. Discretionary pulling back some here, but should find support at the lows of yesterday. Staples and Materials should still be avoided for now. 
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My Market Sentiment

The rising channel was broken yesterday, and while that could lead to a short-term pullback to short-term support, the candle action looks like a bull flag ready to break higher yet again. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

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Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 3 Long Positions

Recent Stock Trades – See My Past Performance Here.