My Swing Trading Approach
I have identified some key trade setups that I want to take a stab at right out of the gate this morning. Should this bounce hold today, and in the days ahead, the potential for a 100 to 150 point move for SPX looms very, very large and could be one of the best bounce opportunities of the year.
Indicators
- Volatility Index (VIX) – Created a new closing high on the month, but not an intraday high. Potential for a double top if the equities rally holds up today.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): Almost reached the single digits yesterday, but closed at 11% which is insanely low. Look for a bounce here.
- Moving averages (SPX): First test today, to see whether this rally will stick will be a on a test of the 5-day moving average.
- RELATED: Patterns to Profits: Training Course
Sectors to Watch Today
Utilities and Real Estate held strong and is expected in a correction. For the bounce to play out and hold strong, Technology, Discretionary and Industrials will have to participate and lead the way.
My Market Sentiment
Capitulation-like price action into the close yesterday with a 3% decline to take SPX negative on the year. Now the rising trend-line off of the February lows are being tested. Critical area of support here.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance
- 100% Cash

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It's 2025 and we have for ourselves a stock market correction. I get that some people are calling it a stock market crash already, but that is certainly pre-mature and short-sighted. Let's call it for what it is right now, and that is a stock market correction. In this podcast episode, Ryan discusses how important it is to be risk managers in our trading and how we can weather the storms of the market and even profit from a stock market correction. This is an incredibly important podcast episode that you won't want to miss!
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