My Swing Trading Approach

All this market knows is to continue to rally, regardless if stocks as a whole want to follow. I’ll still continue trading long as the market wills for that to be a viable trade, but I am also watching closely whether this market intends to pullback at some point in the short-term. 

Indicators

VIX – VIX dropped a resounding 8% on Friday down to 9.14. The lowest closing price I’ve ever seen. 

T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average): Something isn’t right here. T2108 continues to march lower. down another 2.2% on Friday, with only 53% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average. 

Moving averages (SPX): Holding all the moving averages. Bullish. 

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Industries to Watch Today

Financials should run, but they are stalling out again. Health care walking away from the edge of a big sell-off, and bouncing instead. Energy and Technology still very hot. 

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My Market Sentiment

Insanely bullish, insanely overbought. The daily range is not much, and the ability to short is non-existent. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

swing trading strategy report 72

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 5 long positions

Recent Stock Trade Notables:

  • Baidu (BIDU): Long at $242.80; sold at 248.29 for a 1% profit.
  • Nvida (NVDA): Long at $195.17, sold at $204.88 for a 5% profit.
  • Humana (HUM): Long at $248.73, sold at $261.20 for a 5% profit.
  • Square (SQ): Long at $32.92, sold at $34.36 for a 4.4% profit. 
  • Nvida (NVDA): Long at $198.17, sold at $194.06 for a 2% loss. 
  • Lennar Homes (LEN): Long at $56.63, sold at $58.10 for a 2.6% profit. 
  • Lam Research (LRCX): Long at $185.23, sold at $192.24 for a 3.8% profit.
  • Starbucks (SBUX): Long at $55.59, sold at $54.94 for a 1.1% loss. 
  • Illinois Tool Works (ITW): Long at $148.63, sold at $151.23 for a 1.8% profit.
  • Nvdia (NVDA): Long at $180.18, sold at $187.38 for a 4% profit. 
  • Olin Corp (OLN): Long at $34.37, sold at $36.14 for a 5.2% profit.
  • Lowe’s (LOW): Long at $77.97, sold at $81.52 for a 4.6% profit
  • IBB: Long at $330.91, sold at $338.25 for a 2.2% profit. 
  • Seagate Technologies (STX): Long at $34.35, sold at $33.89 for a 1.3% loss. 
  • Wynn Resorts (WYNN): Long at $149.65, sold at $147.14 for a 1.7% loss. 
  • Imax Corp (IMAX): Long at $23.03, sold at 22.26 for a 3.3% loss. 
  • Marriott International (MAR): Long at $106.26, sold at $108.26 for a 1.9% profit. 
  • Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $170.63, sold at $170.29 for a 5.0% profit. 
  • Workday (WDAY): Long at $106.91, sold at $104.90 for a 1.8% loss
  • Nvdia (NVDA): Long at $170.45, sold at $187.94 for a 10.3% profit. 

See my entire swing-trading past performance here