What does this calm before the storm mean for the stock market?

Everyone keeps talking about how right now in the stock market, you have a very similar “calm before the storm” trading atmosphere to that of 2007. Personally, I think it is a bunch of hogwash. What happened the following year in 2008 was extraordinary. It changed traders. So much so that when we think of recessions or market pullbacks, we automatically become fixated on 2008. 

But I get it, the market has reached that point of being “too good to be true”. As a result the paranoia is running rampant among traders, VIX is practically trading at its historic lows, and traders are becoming too afraid of a good thing. 

stock market today

I miss the volatility, I want it back, too. I want to see stocks get knocked down, see some fear in traders that leads to opportunity for others. But if this is genuinely the calm before the storm, it doesn’t mean that it has to be equal to a storm like 2008. There are other storms to be had, like the euro crisis back during the summer of 2011. 

Volatility will return again at some point, but what you have to be okay with, is trading the market that is right now. Regardless if it is the calm before the storm, there is no sense in sitting on the sidelines until the storm arrives. 

Instead, go trade the “calm”. 

S&P 500 Chart

the calm before the storm

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance: 

  • 7  Long positions

Recent Stock Trade Notables:

  • Workday (WDAY): Long at 86.00, closed at 90.32 for a 5% profit. 
  • Univar (UNVR): Long at $30.96, closed at $32.20 for a 4% profit.
  • Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $111.91, closed at $115.48 for a 3.2% profit. 
  • Redhat (RHT): Long at $85.21, closed at $87.21 foor a 2.4% profit. 
  • Darling Ingredients (DAR): Long at $15.19, closed at $14.90 for a 1.9% loss. 
  • Apple (AAPL): Long at $143.82, closed at $147.11 for a 2.3% profit.
  • Teradyne (TER): Long at $31.16, closed at $33.03 for a 6.0% profit.
  • UPRO: Long at $92.75, closed at $94.78 for a 2.2% profit. 
  • Murphy Oil (MUR): Long at $28.69, closed at $27.89 for a 2.7% loss.
  • Las Vegas Sands (LVS): Long at $57.24, closed at $56.53 for a 1.2% loss.  
  • UPRO: Long at $91.94, closed at $96.54 for a 5.0% profit.
  • Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $105.736, closed at $108.22 for a 2.4% profit. 
  • Facebook (FB): Long at $134.27, Closed at $139.23 for a 3.7% profit. 
  • CDW Corp (CDW): Long at $58.65, closed at $58.91 for a 2.7% loss. 
  • Redhat (RHT): Long at $82.41, Closed at $83.53 for a 1.4% profit. 
  • Ambarella (AMBA): Long at $57.15, Closed at $55.52 for a 2.8% loss. 
  • Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $104.73, closed at $106.05 for a 1.3% profit. 
  • Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $218.63, Closed at $222.71 for a 1.9% profit. 
  • American Airlines (AAL): Short at $44.76, Closed at $44.03 for a 1.6% profit.
  • UPRO  (Day-Tade): Long at $95.35, closed at $96.50 for a 1.2% profit.
  • OZRK: Long at $56.12, closed at $54.69 for a 2.5% loss. 
  • FNSR: Long at $34.25, closed at $34.70 for a 1.3% profit. 
  • UPRO  (Day-Tade): Long at $96.92, closed at $98.03 for a 1.2% profit. 
  • JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $87.21, closed at $89.67 for a 2.8% profit. 
  • Chevron (CVX): Short at $110.03, covered at $111.85 for a 1.6% loss. 
  • Flex Technologies (FLEX): Long at $15.62, closed at $16.57 for a 6.1% profit. 
  • Baidu (BIDU): Long at $174.70, closed at $187.00 for a 7.0% profit. 
  • Ollie’s Bargain Outlet: Long at 33.20, closed at $32.50 for a 2.1% loss. 
  • Corning (GLW): Long at $26.98, closed at $27.45 for a 1.7% profit. 
  • Illinois Tool Works (ITW): Long at $127.74, closed at $129.86 for a 1.7% profit. 
  • Marriott Int’l (MAR): Long at $86.16, closed at $87.51 for a 1.6% profit.