Pre-market update:
- European markets are trading 2.1% higher.
- Asian markets traded 1.1% lower.
- US futures are trading 0.5% higher.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): Consumer Credit (3)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- SPX closed Friday on the underside of the 5/22 highs, descending trend-line. Finishing in the green today, will result in a break above the trend-line.
- Despite closing below the trend-line resistance, the SPX managed to break above the 20-day and 50-day moving average which was a solid milestone for the market.
- Also, a there is a steep rising trend-line off of the 6/24 lows, with support at 1617.
- SPX shows clear breakout above the fray and consolidation that has taken place since 6/27. There is a strong likelihood that this market will continue to rally.
- Volume should pick up in the markets now that we are back to a normal trading week.
- VIX dropped back into the 14’s.
- Weekly SPX chart shows signs of breaking out of the current bull-flag pattern.
- Cup and Handle breakout on the SPX 30-minute chart.
- The one thing you are not seeing that typically accompanies a major market sell-off is continuous bad news coming out. We had the FOMC Statement and that has been it.
- I simply do not think the bears can keep driving this market lower without some form of a catalyst besides the tapering comments made before by the FOMC.
- Markets don’t care about the economy. That is not what is driving them. The markets only care about what the Fed is doing to keep equities propped up.
My Opinions & Trades:
- No new positions on Friday.
- Current Longs: WLP at 80, GS at 153.16, LPI at 20.28, GOOG at 872.67, V at 182.15, BCR at 108.70.
- I expect at this point to close out some existing positions that are trading well outside the upper Bollinger Band and tighten up on stops for remaining positions. I will also add some new setups today as well.
- Join me each day for all my real-time trades and alerts in the SharePlanner Splash Zone