Pre-market update:
- European markets are trading 0.5% lower.
- Asian markets traded 0.7% lower.
- US futures are trading 0.5% lower.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): None
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- SPX closed at all-time highs yesterday and broke out of the four-day, 12-point consolidation range it had previously been in. Tech after hours earnings are weighing heavily on the market, particularly due to GOOG and MSFT reports.
- Volume has picked up a slight amount over the past two days.
- The possibility exists that the very steep rising trend-line off of the 6/24 lows will be tested today at 1674. A break of this level, will indicate the euphoria surrounding the recent push higher is dying down some.
- My experience with tech disappointments and after hours sell-offs, is that the rest of the market will typically recover during the day, while tech grapples with the earnings misses. I have a hunch that despite tech’s sell-off, the Dow and SPX could in fact finish green today.
- Of concern is that there is really no significant key price support levels near current price action.
- This uptrend looks nearly the same as the one we saw on 4/19 and lasted until 5/19. I’m curious if it will lead to a similar extended pullback as a result.
- The SPX has typically risen in long winded streaks in 2013 where instead of the typical give-and-take that a market experiences, the bulls push higher with little in the way of obstacles.
- VIX dropped back into the 13’s.
- Yesterday’s VIX was a concern since it managed to finish break even despite the market’s run.
- Careful to note all the gaps that have formed on this uptrend off of the lows of 6/24. More times than not a market will ultimately come back and fill those gaps.
- Markets don’t care about the economy. That is not what is driving them. The markets only care about what the Fed is doing to keep equities propped up.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Sold EMN at 74.96 for a 1.9% gain.
- Sold CME at 76.4 for a -0.2% loss.
- Added CL at 58.84 yesterday.
- Added SBBGI at 30.72 yeseterday.
- Current Longs: HRB at 30.19, EMN at 73.58, QID at 21.17, CME at 76.53, SJM at 104.63, AAPL at 422.30, BDX at 99.98
- May look to take gains in stocks that are stagnant and replace them with better setups today.
- Join me each day for all my real-time trades and alerts in the SharePlanner Splash Zone