My Swing Trading Approach

Booked profits in a number of positions on Friday, reduced my long exposure, day-traded the market to the short side. Should the market rally, and hold the rally today, I will look to add some new long positions to the portfolio. 

Indicators

  • VIX – A 13% rally yesterday, back above 20, but stuck in consolidation over the last two weeks. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average): Significant drop in indicator on Friday of 25% down to 37.6% overall. Higher-highs remain in place. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Lost the 5-and 10-day moving averages, but held on to the 200-day moving average. 
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Industries to Watch Today

Like most sell-offs of late, Industrials, Technology and Healthcare led the way to the downside, while Utilities and Real Estate were near the top. Energy was on the brink of a significant breakout, but squandered the opportunity on Friday. Materials continues to put in lower-highs. 
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My Market Sentiment

Dramatic price action of rallies and reversals happening spontaneously on market headlines. The headline risk is incredibly high at the moment. Despite Friday’s reversal in price, the 200-day moving average still held with a 20-point rally off of the lows of the day. Price also remains stuck in a two week consolidation pattern. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

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Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 2 Long Positions

Recent Stock Trades – See My Past Performance Here.