My Swing Trading Approach

Still net short, but in there with some long exposure. I’ll need to see a move from the market today, whether up or down, to convince me to add more trades to the portfolio. Sideways price action won’t lure me into making another trade. 

Indicators

VIX – trying to sell off yet again on Friday, much like it did the previous Friday following a major sell-off. The decline was to the tune of 8% despite the S&P 500 finishing lower. 

T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average) – Decline there is real, and only 31% of stocks are trading above their 40-day moving average. Extreme readings tend to occur under 18%. 

Moving averages (SPX): With the price action below all the short-term MA’s, there is a real chance that the S&P 500 tests the 200-day MA eventually. 

Industries to Watch Today

Media stocks and Semiconductors showing a number of decent setups out there. Oil is so oversold that it could easily see a bounce. On the flip side, Chemicals, Agriculture, home builders, industrials and banks look absolutely awful. 

RELATED: Stocks to Watch: JBHT SWK AMZN

My Market Sentiment

I’m still leaning bearish on this market. Friday’s bounce didn’t happen, despite strength early on. Quite a bit of support at 2400, which could be tested as soon as today, and if that breaks, a test of the 200-day moving average is all but likely in the coming weeks.

Large caps > Small caps.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance: 

• 2 short positions, 1 long position

Recent Stock Trade Notables:

• SPXU: Long at $14.68, closed at $15.42 for a 5.0% profit.
• Tesla (TSLA): Long at 365.09, closed at 356.15 for a 2.4% loss. 
• United Parcel Service (UPS): Long at 113.58, sold at $114.74 for a 1% profit.
• First Solar (FSLR): Long at $48.07, sold at $49.10 for a 2.1% profit. 
• Facebook (FB): Short at $168.31, covered at $170.62 for a 1.3% loss. 
• SDS: Long at $49.81, closed at $48.88 for a 1.8% loss. 
• SPXU: Long at $14.51, closed at $15.25 for a 5.1% profit.
• Zayo Group (ZAYO): Long at 32.91, closed at 33.83 for a 2.8% profit. 
• JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $94.91, closed at $93.83 for a 1.1% loss.
• Bank of America (BAC): Long at $24.48, closed at $25.01 for a 2.2% profit. 
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $151.69, closed at $153.43 for a 1.2% profit. 
• Salesforce (CRM): Long at $90.86, closed at $89.43 for a 1.5% loss. 
• Autodesk (ADSK): Long at $106.45, closed at $111.34 for a 4.6% profit.
• Bank of America (BAC): Long at $23.99, closed at $24.23 for a 1% profit. 
• IBB: Long at $313.18, closed at $324.25 for a 3.5% profit. 
• SPXU: Long at $14.82, closed at $14.58 for a 1.6% loss. 
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $143.65, closed at $150.40 for a 4.7% profit. 
• American Airlines (AAL): Long at $49.26, closed at $51.84 for a 5.2% profit
• Intel (INTC) Short at $35.21, covered at $34.46 for a 2.1% profit. 
• Nvdia (NVDA): Long at $155.57, closed at $157.53 for a 1.3% profit. 
• IBB: Long at $298.24, closed at $303.74 for a 1.8% profit. 
• SPXU: Long at $15.68, closed at $15.25 for a 2.7% loss. 
• Whirlpool (WHR): Long at $190.46, closed at $195.19 for a 2.5% profit. 
• Ferrari (RACE): Long at $84.60, closed at $89.93 for a 6.3% profit. 
• Amazon (AMZN): Long at $964.70, closed at $1001.23 for a 3.8% profit. 
• American Airlines (AAL): Long at $49.18, closed at $50.62 for a 2.9% profit
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $124.95, closed at $137.51 for a 10.1% profit. 
• Starbucks (SBUX): Long at $61.78, closed at $63.68 for a 3.1% profit.
• Western Digital (WDC): Long at $91.24, closed at $89.29 for a 2.1% loss. 
• Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $236.65, closed at $241.15 for a 2% profit.
• SPXU: Long at 16.60, closed at $16.98 for a 2.3% profit.
• JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $87.84, closed at $85.98 for a 2.1% loss.
• Micron Technology (MU): Long at $29.00, closed at $28.04 for a 3.3% loss.
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $116.25, closed at $124.09 for a 6.7% profit. 
• Southwest Airlines (LUV): Long at $58.35, closed at 57.23 for a 1.9% loss.  
• Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $223.63, closed at $228.65 for a 2.2% profit. 
• Workday (WDAY): Long at 86.00, closed at 90.32 for a 5% profit. 
• Univar (UNVR): Long at $30.96, closed at $32.20 for a 4% profit.
• Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $111.91, closed at $115.48 for a 3.2% profit. 
• Redhat (RHT): Long at $85.21, closed at $87.21 foor a 2.4% profit. 
• Darling Ingredients (DAR): Long at $15.19, closed at $14.90 for a 1.9% loss. 
• Apple (AAPL): Long at $143.82, closed at $147.11 for a 2.3% profit.
• Teradyne (TER): Long at $31.16, closed at $33.03 for a 6.0% profit.
• UPRO: Long at $92.75, closed at $94.78 for a 2.2% profit. 

See my entire swing-trading past performance here.