My Swing Trading Approach
I’m playing both sides of the market right now, as it is becoming near impossible to put full faith in the case of the bulls or the bears.
Indicators
VIX – Close to going back into the 10’s yet again as VIX lost 14% yesterday. Now down over 27% since Thursday’s close.
T2108 (% of stocks trading below their 40-day moving average) – Strong move yesterday of 13.8% but very little improvement overall on the chart.
Moving averages (SPX): MA’s are losing their luster as price continues to rip above and below them with little reaction. $SPX broke back above the 5, 10 and 50-day moving averages yesterday with no resistance.
Industries to Watch Today
There is enough weakness in the premarket where if it holds, there will be very little in the way of bullishness. Defense coming back around nicely and definitely deserves some consideration. Semis could finally come around if the market can rally back from the pre-market losses. Financials bounced yesterday, but still a rough chart for trading. No life in Energy. Utilities are unstoppable still.
RELATED: Stocks to Watch: VEEV FORM MOMO
My Market Sentiment
Yesterday showed the signs of a hard market bounce, now we have to wait and see whether the bulls can run with it here, or whether they will succumb to downside yest again.
Large caps > Small caps.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance:
- 3 long positions, 1 short positions
Recent Stock Trade Notables:
- SPXU: Long at $14.68, closed at $15.42 for a 5.0% profit.
- Tesla (TSLA): Long at 365.09, closed at 356.15 for a 2.4% loss.
- United Parcel Service (UPS): Long at 113.58, sold at $114.74 for a 1% profit.
- First Solar (FSLR): Long at $48.07, sold at $49.10 for a 2.1% profit.
- Facebook (FB): Short at $168.31, covered at $170.62 for a 1.3% loss.
- SDS: Long at $49.81, closed at $48.88 for a 1.8% loss.
- SPXU: Long at $14.51, closed at $15.25 for a 5.1% profit.
- Zayo Group (ZAYO): Long at 32.91, closed at 33.83 for a 2.8% profit.
- JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $94.91, closed at $93.83 for a 1.1% loss.
- Bank of America (BAC): Long at $24.48, closed at $25.01 for a 2.2% profit.
- Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $151.69, closed at $153.43 for a 1.2% profit.
- Salesforce (CRM): Long at $90.86, closed at $89.43 for a 1.5% loss.
- Autodesk (ADSK): Long at $106.45, closed at $111.34 for a 4.6% profit.
- Bank of America (BAC): Long at $23.99, closed at $24.23 for a 1% profit.
- IBB: Long at $313.18, closed at $324.25 for a 3.5% profit.
- SPXU: Long at $14.82, closed at $14.58 for a 1.6% loss.
- Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $143.65, closed at $150.40 for a 4.7% profit.
- American Airlines (AAL): Long at $49.26, closed at $51.84 for a 5.2% profit
- Intel (INTC) Short at $35.21, covered at $34.46 for a 2.1% profit.
- Nvdia (NVDA): Long at $155.57, closed at $157.53 for a 1.3% profit.
- IBB: Long at $298.24, closed at $303.74 for a 1.8% profit.
- SPXU: Long at $15.68, closed at $15.25 for a 2.7% loss.
- Whirlpool (WHR): Long at $190.46, closed at $195.19 for a 2.5% profit.
- Ferrari (RACE): Long at $84.60, closed at $89.93 for a 6.3% profit.
- Amazon (AMZN): Long at $964.70, closed at $1001.23 for a 3.8% profit.
- American Airlines (AAL): Long at $49.18, closed at $50.62 for a 2.9% profit
- Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $124.95, closed at $137.51 for a 10.1% profit.
- Starbucks (SBUX): Long at $61.78, closed at $63.68 for a 3.1% profit.
- Western Digital (WDC): Long at $91.24, closed at $89.29 for a 2.1% loss.
- Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $236.65, closed at $241.15 for a 2% profit.
- SPXU: Long at 16.60, closed at $16.98 for a 2.3% profit.
- JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Long at $87.84, closed at $85.98 for a 2.1% loss.
- Micron Technology (MU): Long at $29.00, closed at $28.04 for a 3.3% loss.
- Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $116.25, closed at $124.09 for a 6.7% profit.
- Southwest Airlines (LUV): Long at $58.35, closed at 57.23 for a 1.9% loss.
- Broadcom (AVGO): Long at $223.63, closed at $228.65 for a 2.2% profit.
- Workday (WDAY): Long at 86.00, closed at 90.32 for a 5% profit.
- Univar (UNVR): Long at $30.96, closed at $32.20 for a 4% profit.
- Alibaba Group (BABA): Long at $111.91, closed at $115.48 for a 3.2% profit.
- Redhat (RHT): Long at $85.21, closed at $87.21 foor a 2.4% profit.
- Darling Ingredients (DAR): Long at $15.19, closed at $14.90 for a 1.9% loss.
- Apple (AAPL): Long at $143.82, closed at $147.11 for a 2.3% profit.
- Teradyne (TER): Long at $31.16, closed at $33.03 for a 6.0% profit.
- UPRO: Long at $92.75, closed at $94.78 for a 2.2% profit.
Welcome to Swing Trading the Stock Market Podcast!
I want you to become a better trader, and you know what? You absolutely can!
Commit these three rules to memory and to your trading:
#1: Manage the RISK ALWAYS!
#2: Keep the Losses Small
#3: Do #1 & #2 and the profits will take care of themselves.
That’s right, successful swing-trading is about managing the risk, and with Swing Trading the Stock Market podcast, I encourage you to email me (ryan@shareplanner.com) your questions, and there’s a good chance I’ll make a future podcast out of your stock market related question.
Emotional trading will destroy one’s portfolio. Aiming to hit home runs with every trade is a sure sign that the trader is overly emotional and only cares about fast money. In this podcast episode Ryan explains how chasing after stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR) without a plan for managing the risk can ultimately ruin a trader’s attempt at being a successful swing-trader.
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*Disclaimer: Ryan Mallory is not a financial adviser and this podcast is for entertainment purposes only. Consult your financial adviser before making any decisions.