My Swing Trading Strategy
I added one new long position on Friday. Still concerned about the ability of this market to march all that much higher, which is why I am extremely light at this juncture. Completely willing to add short positions and wouldn’t be surprised to see myself do so before the end of today’s trading session.
Indicators
- Volatility Index (VIX) – A 10% drop took the VIX down to 17.04. The last two sessions has seen a very hard drop from the 21’s to its current reading, which simply adds to the market choppiness of late and uncertainty.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): The hard bounce continues taking it back up to 49% from just 31% a few days earlier. Provides some legitimacy to the recent bounce, but still needs another 40% to get back to where it was trading at the September highs.
- Moving averages (SPX) Broke back above the 5-day and 50-day moving average, but just below the 10-day moving average.
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Sectors to Watch Today
Utilities and Staples were the big winners on Friday’s rally. That is a little bit concerning, even though everything else managed to rally too. It showed that investors were still preferring the confines of safety over higher-risk growth names. Energy barely participated in the rally,m and the chart is as problematic as ever.
My Market Sentiment
The bulls have seen a solid two day bounce out of this market, with some lingering short-term resistance to contend with today, if it wants to make any attempt at new all-time highs. Double top still in play and casts a shadow over this market.
Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance
- 1 Long Position.