Look, I’m not going to ‘poo-poo’ on this market rally today, but let’s face it:
Apple (AAPL) reports after the bell today, and we know that earnings in the technology sector haven’t been the best. Sure Amazon (AMZN) had a momentary pop and Alphabet Google (GOOGL) soared, but then you have the unexpected floggings in Facebook (FB) and Netflix (NFLX). If Apple follows the example set by the latter, the tone it will set for this market will be very negative, and we are likely to see a huge pullback in the market thereafter.
Now, Apple (AAPL) didn’t get to almost a trillion dollar valuation by disappointing at earnings every time, so there is a good chance that they will do well, but doing well means 4-5% to the upside probably, while an eye opening miss could see a move in excess of 10%.
As a result, I’m not buying anything today ahead of the Apple earnings. I have one position open currently, and I plan to just keep that one going into earnings.
Below is my list of short setups that I am following. I’m not really crazy about any of them, that I want to pull the trigger on, but that is due in large part to having very little long exposure right now, and the market rallying quite well today.
But if that market takes a turn for the worse, you’ve got my “just-in-case” watch-list to help guide you through it.
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