Pre-market update:
- Asian markets traded 0.8% lower.
- European markets are trading flat/mixed..
- US futures are trading 0.3% higher ahead of the market open.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): Challenger Job-Cut Report (7:30), Jobless Claims (8:30), EIA Natural Gas Report (10:30)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
- Extremely choppy session yesterday, with SPX finishing barely below breakeven for the day.
- It could be that we are seeing ‘zero’ market direction at the moment due to the torch being passed from Bernanke to Yellen for the Fed Chair. Once that transition is complete, traders may become more comfortable with the market.
- A break below 1823 could become a huge problem for the SPX short-term as it would create a new lower-low for the index. This is where the bears should have their sights set on.
- Volume was above average for the first time in a very long time.
- 30-minute chart has a bit of an inverse head and shoulders pattern that has formed since the beginning of the new year.
- VIX dropped ever so slightly yesterday.
- Once 1849 clears, SPX should see a very strong push higher thereafter.
- SPX also held the 10-day moving average which is a great indicator of direction but of late not a great area of support for price.
- The 10-day moving average going forward shouldn’t be relied on much as numerous failures has plagued it without any support since December. Let it re-establish itself as a support overlay before considering it again.
- Slightly outside of overbought levels on SPX.
- 1809 from longer-term perspective becomes the critical price level in the short-term that the SPX must not drop below.
- January is starting off in much the same way as December 2013 did – so keep that in mind.
- Trend-line support off of the October lows lies at 1803 – and currently out of reach for the bears.
- There is absolutely no reason at all to be net-short this market.
- Markets don’t care about the economy nor earnings. That is not what is driving them. The markets only care about what the Fed is doing to keep equities propped up.
My Opinions & Trades:
- Added two new position yesterday.
- Did not close out any of my existing trades.
- Remain long EWBC at 34.52, JDSU at 13.00, GT at 23.81, SBGI at 36.60, CAT at 89.14
- I expect to add 1-2 new positions today.
- Long 70% / Cash 30%
- Join me each day for all my real-time trades and alerts in the SharePlanner Splash Zone
Chart for SPX:
Welcome to Swing Trading the Stock Market Podcast!
I want you to become a better trader, and you know what? You absolutely can!
Commit these three rules to memory and to your trading:
#1: Manage the RISK ALWAYS!
#2: Keep the Losses Small
#3: Do #1 & #2 and the profits will take care of themselves.
That’s right, successful swing-trading is about managing the risk, and with Swing Trading the Stock Market podcast, I encourage you to email me (ryan@shareplanner.com) your questions, and there’s a good chance I’ll make a future podcast out of your stock market related question.
How to trade a stock split: in this podcast episode Ryan talks about the impact of what an announced forward stock split means for a stock that you are considering swing trading, or may already be trading. Also covered are the risks, and the strategy behind stock splits for investors and traders alike.
Be sure to check out my Swing-Trading offering through SharePlanner that goes hand-in-hand with my podcast, offering all of the research, charts and technical analysis on the stock market and individual stocks, not to mention my personal watch-lists, reviews and regular updates on the most popular stocks, including the all-important big tech stocks. Check it out now at: https://www.shareplanner.com/premium-plans
📈 START SWING-TRADING WITH ME! 📈
Click here to subscribe: https://shareplanner.com/tradingblock
— — — — — — — — —
💻 STOCK MARKET TRAINING COURSES 💻
Click here for all of my training courses: https://www.shareplanner.com/trading-academy
– The A-Z of the Self-Made Trader – https://www.shareplanner.com/the-a-z-of-the-self-made-trader
– The Winning Watch-List — https://www.shareplanner.com/winning-watchlist
– Patterns to Profits — https://www.shareplanner.com/patterns-to-profits
– Get 1-on-1 Coaching — https://www.shareplanner.com/coaching
— — — — — — — — —
❤️ SUBSCRIBE TO MY YOUTUBE CHANNEL 📺
Click here to subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/shareplanner?sub_confirmation=1
🎧 LISTEN TO MY PODCAST 🎵
Click here to listen to my podcast: https://open.spotify.com/show/5Nn7MhTB9HJSyQ0C6bMKXI
— — — — — — — — —
💰 FREE RESOURCES 💰
My Website: https://shareplanner.com
— — — — — — — — —
🛠 TOOLS OF THE TRADE 🛠
Software I use (TC2000): https://bit.ly/2HBdnBm
— — — — — — — — —
📱 FOLLOW SHAREPLANNER ON SOCIAL MEDIA 📱
X: https://x.com/shareplanner
INSTAGRAM: https://instagram.com/shareplanner
FACEBOOK: https://facebook.com/shareplanner
STOCKTWITS: https://stocktwits.com/shareplanner
TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@shareplanner
*Disclaimer: Ryan Mallory is not a financial adviser and this podcast is for entertainment purposes only. Consult your financial adviser before making any decisions.