I use the T2108 to gauge the overall market enthusiasm and whether the stocks, as a whole, are really following what the market is telling us. 

Just looking at the stock market indices, in particular the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Day after day, it makes new all-time highs. Each day it rides one or two individual stocks higher.

Every day it is a different sector, a different industry or different earnings report that drives the markets to new highs.

But what happens when we look at just the price action of stocks – how are they actually doing?

That is what the T2108 does – it ignores the headlines and just tells you what percentage of stocks are trading above their 40-day moving average.

And guess what?  

The T2108 continues to decline. 

Continues to weaken. 

Continues to diverge. 

Which is why I am willing to let the crowd be uber bullish about this market, at this point, but I for one will choose a more neutral holding of stocks.

I want the flexibility. 

Sure, if the market can breakout of this boring 12-day trading range to the upside, I’ll get more bullish, but if it can’t, and breaksdown instead, then I maintain the flexibility to get more bearish and more short on this market, as a result.  

So check out the T2108 chart below and tell me what you think. 

t2108

 

 

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